Skip to main content

“Polish Moment” at Risk


From the series European news


In July, the strategic triangle of London-Paris-Berlin was strengthened with the Northwood Declaration, in which the United Kingdom and France signalled the possibility of coordinating the use of their nuclear weapons through the creation of a “Nuclear Steering Group”, and with the Kensington Treaty, an Anglo-German defence pact. These agreements complement the Franco-British agreements of Lancaster House and the Franco-German Treaty of Aachen.

Although Poland signed the Treaty of Nancy with France in May 2025, it was excluded from the recent “E3” consultations, in which only the United Kingdom, France, and Germany participated. Nevertheless, the establishment of the new government led by Donald Tusk, the Civic Platform (PO) leader, in the October 2023 elections, after eight years of antagonism with Brussels under the Law and Justice Party (PiS)-dominated government, had fuelled expectations of greater Polish influence in Europe.

In his book Pologne, histoire d’une ambition [February 2025], Pierre Buhler discusses the “long-awaited ‘Polish moment’”. For the French diplomat, a former ambassador to Warsaw, with “Russia’s renewed aggression”, Poland’s vocation is to be “the new cornerstone of European security”. However, he adds, the lack of an advanced defence industry and the politically-motivated inability to join the euro limit its potential. On the other hand, the victory in the June presidential elections of Karol Nawrocki, a candidate supported by the nationalist-populist PiS party, raises questions about the scope of this “Polish moment”. While “the far-right opposition has emerged stronger and galvanised from the presidential elections”, Tusk’s coalition is showing signs of division and “risks paralysis”, warned Le Monde [July 23rd].

The weight of history

Poland, with 38 million inhabitants, has seen its GDP per capita rise from 51% to 80% of the European average since joining the EU in 2004. However, Buhler warns that the effects of the profound transformation the country has undergone also include the “awakening of ghosts from the past, these conflicts of memory that weigh heavily [ ... ] on Poland’s relations with its neighbours”. This is particularly true of the PiS’s “historical politics”, an ideological exploitation of the past driven by “collective narcissism”, of which the nationalist-populist party’s fiercely anti-German rhetoric is an expression. In Poland, history has “left a much deeper mark than in most other countries”, says Buhler. In his book, he summarises the constants of the Polish moral factor shaped over the centuries in three key points: “Firstly, the guiding principle of Catholicism, then Poland’s role as a bulwark against repeated assaults from the East, and finally, the indomitability of a nation that has constantly rebelled against the yokes imposed from outside”.

After facing Mongol invasions, the advance of the Ottomans, and occupation by Protestant Prussians and Orthodox Russians, Catholicism, adopted at the end of the 10th century as a “defensive posture”, evolved over the course of history to become the foundation of Polish national identity. Poland experienced its Golden Age in the 16th century, in the form of the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth, the culmination of the union between the Kingdom of Poland and the Grand Duchy of Lithuania under King Jogaila (founder of the Jagiellonian dinasty), at the end of the 14th century. At its peak, the elective monarchy dominated Central Europe and its territory stretched from the Baltic Sea to the Black Sea.

The distinctive feature of Poland compared to other medieval European States, according to Buhler, was that a minority of “magnates” had formed a “real oligarchy that held effective power”. In addition, the liberum veto, which from 1652 guaranteed all members of the Sejm (legislative assembly) the power to block a vote, paralysed the political system. In the “transactional” logic of electing the king in exchange for new privileges, central power was constantly weakened, which encouraged corruption and interference by foreign powers. The country then fell into a period of decline: “The triumph of the Counter-Reformation” - accompanied by the destruction of Protestant churches and pogroms “instigated by the clergy” - isolated it “from the intellectual currents of Western Europe, relegating the nobility, with few exceptions, to growing obscurantism”. Living in “gilded freedom” at the expense of increasingly severe exploitation of the peasants, the nobility nurtured “a feeling of superiority over the rest of society and a xenophobic attitude”. After the disappearance of Poland, following three successive partitions between Russia, Prussia, and Austria-Hungary in 1772, 1793, and 1795, the Church became “the soul of a dismembered nation and a refuge in the hope of better days”.

Conflictual neighbourhood

Meanwhile, the animosity of Lithuanian, Belarusian, and Ukrainian peasants towards the “Polish lords” occasionally erupted in revolts. Thus, writes Buhler, in 1648, during the Ukrainian peasant uprising, the Catholic clergy, Polish nobles, “and even Jews, accused of serving the lords”, were massacred. Similar clashes occurred during the 17th and 19th centuries. After regaining independence in 1918, confirming with its resurrection the image of Poland as the “Christ of the Nations”, Warsaw waged six wars against its neighbours to establish its borders. On one hand, Roman Dmowski’s national-democratic movement favoured a “centralising and integrating State” and the “forced Polonisation” of minorities; on the other, Józef Pilsudski’s movement defended the vision of a Jagiellonian Poland, “uniting Belarusians, Ukrainians, and Lithuanians within the pre-partition borders, between the Baltic Sea and the Black Sea (Intermarium)".

Pilsudski started his political career in the Polish Socialist Party (PPS) and later became head of State; he declared that “I took the tram of socialism, but I got off at the Independence stop”. After the coup d’état of 1926, which put an end to the “democratic chapter”, he led Poland towards a policy of balance between the USSR and Germany, signing a non-aggression pact with Moscow in 1932 and another with Berlin in 1934. After his death in 1935, Poland, which now considered itself a great power, “blinded by arrogance”, turned inwards towards “narrow nationalism, in search of a phantom ‘Polish Poland’, while almost a third of the population was made up of minorities, Ukrainians, Jews, Belarusians, and Germans”. Thus, Warsaw, which made no secret of “its sympathy for Franco in the Spanish Civil War” and approved “Mussolini’s aggression against Ethiopia”, participated alongside Nazi Germany in the dismemberment of Czechoslovakia following the Munich Agreement of 1938, occupying part of Silesia. A year later, Poland itself fell prey to Nazi Germany and the USSR, which invaded the country.

The German occupation of Ukraine, initially welcomed “as a harbinger of the imminent creation of an independent Ukrainian State”, had the effect of unleashing violence by radical factions of Ukrainian nationalists against Poles, using methods of ethnic cleansing learned from the Germans during their participation in the killing of some 200,000 Jews. The Poles responded with the same level of violence. In Lithuania, too, the Nazi invasion “gave the Lithuanians the opportunity to take revenge on the Poles of Wilno [now Vilnius] [ ... ] and to collaborate with the Nazi regime in the extermination of over 60,000 Jews”.

Europe and Polish Catholicism

During the Second World War, Poland was devastated and lost more than a sixth of its population: six million people died, including three million Jews. The extermination of the latter, the shifting of borders to the west, and the transfer of around seven million individuals meant that, after the war, the State was populated by over 90% Catholic Poles, something which, according to Buhler, had probably not happened since the Polish conquest of Galicia in 1349. Under Moscow’s rule, the Church found itself “once again at the forefront, the only organised force with the right to exist outside the government, but independent of it”. The historian emphasises the invigorating effect of the election of a Polish pope in 1978, as well as the role of the Church - in its alliance with the secular intelligentsia and the working class organised in the Solidarność trade union - in the resistance to Russian rule. Added to “an insurrectional tradition forged in the adversity of occupation”, the “cement of Catholicism”, he writes, “preserved the nation from assimilation during some I20 years of Russian occupation”.

Having regained its independence after the collapse of Moscow’s false socialism, Poland pursued a foreign policy in the 1990s, under the leadership of Foreign Minister Krzysztof Skubiszewski, inspired by the “Giedroyć Doctrine”, which Buhler saw as a “break with nationalism”. Taking its name from the Polish intellectual Jerzy Giedroyć, who founded the magazine Kultura in exile in France, this “doctrine” called on Poland to accept the territorial status quo of 1945 and to consider Ukraine, Lithuania, and Belarus as nations equal to Poland. Giedroyć advocated abandoning the myth of “Jagiellonian” Poland and the prewar model of independence politics. Buhler also acknowledges the impact of Karol Wojtyla’s commitment to EU membership. However, he suggests that the pope saw Poland as an agent of the re-evangelisation of the Old Continent. Buhler believes that the “cultural counter-revolution”, sought by the PiS, “draws inspiration from the body of doctrine forged by John Paul II to offer an alternative to the ‘civilisation of death’ that he constantly denounced in Western Europe”. The irony is that the Catholic Church, which worked tirelessly to anchor Poland to the EU, finds itself in a situation where the Polish clergy has given “open support” to PiS policies, in contradiction to the Euro-Vatican line promoted by Rome.

At a time when American protection has become more uncertain than ever, the Polish bourgeoisie, which contributed to the division of Europe by supporting the war in Iraq in 2003, is faced with the need to find the right balance between Atlanticism, nationalism, and Europeanism. It is a search for a balance that can achieve electoral success but also allow for a transformation of the transatlantic relationship, which goes hand in hand with the attempt to strengthen European imperialism. An arduous challenge.

Lotta Comunista, July-August 2025

Popular posts from this blog

The British Link in the Imperialist Chain

Internationalism No. 33, November 2021 Page 8 Lenin often used the metaphor of a chain that binds the world to describe imperialism. The October Revolution of 1917 broke a first link in that chain and hoped to pull the whole thing loose. The metaphor was adopted in those years by all the Bolshevik leaders and the leaders of the newly formed Third International. Within a decade, Stalin's well-known formula of socialism in one country signified the overturning of that strategic cornerstone and the defeat of the revolution in Russia, in Europe, and in the world. Dates that have come to symbolise historical change act as the synthesis of previously accumulated contradictions, and, while such a sudden change does not exhaust the possibility of future contradictions, the concentration of events in 1926 nonetheless marked a watershed that revealed the true extent that the counter-revolution had reached. The great general strike in the United Kingdom that year, wh...

The Defeat in Afghanistan — a Watershed in the Cycle of Atlantic Decline

In crises and wars there are events which leave their mark on history because of how they make a decisive impact on the power contention, or because of how, almost like a chemical precipitate, they suddenly make deep trends that have been at work for some time coalesce. This is the case of the defeat of the United States and NATO in Afghanistan, which is taking the shape of a real watershed in the cycle of Atlantic decline. For the moment, through various comments in the international press, it is possible to consider its consequences on three levels: America’s position as a power and the connection with its internal crisis; the repercussions on Atlantic relations and Europe’s dilemmas regarding its strategic autonomy; and the relationship between the Afghan crisis and power relations in Asia, especially as regards India’s role in the Indo-Pacific strategy. Repercussions in the United States Richard Haass is the president of the CFR, the Council on Foreign Relations; despite having ...

Political Battles of European Leninism

Internationalism No. 73, March 2025 Page 1 Thirty years after the death of Arrigo Cervetto , we are publishing here the concluding passages of the introduction to his Opere Scelte (“Selected Works”) for the series Biblioteca Giovani (“Publications for young people”), soon to be published in Italian. The 1944-45 partisan war in Italy. The political battle within libertarian communism. The Korean War, and the watchword of “neither Washington nor Moscow”. The layoffs at the Ilva and Ansaldo factories, the political battle and trade union defence in the struggles of post-war restructuring. From 1953 onwards, the crisis of Stalinism, the 1956 Suez crisis, the Hungarian uprising, the 1957 Theses and the challenge of theory and strategy vis-à-vis the tendencies of unitary imperialism. The political struggle within Azione Comunista (“Communist Action”) and the Movimento della Sinistra Comunista (“Movement of the Communist Left”). From the 1950s to the early 1970s, t...

‘Two Hands’ and ‘Two Roads’

From the series News from the Silk Road The international tensions which China will face on the seas in the next fifteen years could find a buffer in the expansion of China’s influence on land in Central, Southern and Western Asia. Wang Jisi is the dean of the School of International Studies at the University of Beijing and a major figure of the American party in China. His unexpected foray into ‘geopolitics’ has reignited the old clash between different American currents — a phenomenon we analysed more than twenty years ago. At the time, Robert Manning, the author of The Asian Energy Factor and adviser to the State Department in 1991, viewed Asia’s growing dependence on the Persian Gulf for its energy requirements in the light of geoeconomics and geostrategy and foresaw a possible convergence between the USA and China. From a geoeconomic standpoint, both trade and the funding and development of the infrastructure necessary for Asia’s energy needs were more important than terri...

Leapfrogging: The Chinese Auto Industry’s Leap Forward

Internationalism No. 73, March 2025 Page 15 From the series The world car battle It is predicted that next year in China the sales of electrified vehicles (mainly battery-powered or hybrid) will for the first time overtake those of cars with an internal combustion engine. This development will mark a historic about turn which will put the world's biggest auto market years ahead of its Western rivals [Financial Times, December 26th]. Meanwhile, the growth in sales of electric vehicles in Europe and the United States has slowed. BYD's leap forward Another important development in 2024 was the record sales of Chinese brands in China: they rose from 38% of the total in 2020 to 56%, a sign of the maturation of the national auto industry which is now able to challenge the Japanese, American, and European manufacturers. BYD's leap forward is impressive, comparable to that of Ford Motors after the First World War, when with the Model T, introduc...

The Works of Marx and Engels and the Bolshevik Model

Internationalism Pages 12–13 In the autumn of 1895 Lenin commented on the death of Friedrich Engels: "After his friend Karl Marx (who died in 1883), Engels was the finest scholar and teacher of the modern proletariat in the whole civilised world. […] In their scientific works, Marx and Engels were the first to explain that socialism is not the invention of dreamers, but the final aim and necessary result of the development of the productive forces in modern society. All recorded history hitherto has been a history of class struggle, of the succession of the rule and victory of certain social classes over others. And this will continue until the foundations of class struggle and of class domination – private property and anarchic social production – disappear. The interests of the proletariat demand the destruction of these foundations, and therefore the conscious class struggle of the organised workers must be directed against them. And every class strugg...

The Theoretical and Political Battles of Arrigo Cervetto I

From the introduction to Arrigo Cervetto’s Opere Scelte (“Selected Works”), soon to be published in Italy by Edizioni Lotta Comunista. I Arrigo Cervetto was the founder, theorist, and leader of Lotta Comunista. From his first involvement in the partisan war in 1943-44 until his death in February 1995, his more than 50 years of political activity can be summarised in around twenty key battles. It goes without saying that those struggles - aimed at the restoration and develop ment of Marxist theory on economics, politics, social change, and international relations - are the common thread running through this selection of his writings. His memoirs, Quaderni 198I82 (“Notebooks 1981-82”), provide an account of those battles up to 1980. First battle: the factory and the partisan war The son of emigrants to Argentina from Savona in Italy, Cervetto was born in Buenos Aires in April 1927, a circumstance that would later influence his thinking about international politics. His early for...

The Drone War

Internationalism No. 78-79, August-September 2025 Page 13 From the series War industry and European defence The Economist provides an illustration of how the use of unmanned and remotely piloted systems in warfare is expanding. In Africa, 30 governments are equipped with UAVs (unmanned aerial vehicles), or drones. In 2024, they were deployed 484 times in local wars in thirteen different countries, twice as frequently as the previous year, causing 1,200 deaths. The most widely used drone on the continent is the TB2, produced by the Turkish company Baykar, which has seen a decade of extensive use in conflicts across Syria, Azerbaijan-Armenia, and Ukraine. LBA Systems and MALE drones At the Paris Air Show in mid-June, an agreement was signed to establish LBA Systems, a joint venture between Baykar and Leonardo. The aim is to produce the Akinci and TB3 drones, the latter of which will be capable of taking off from helicopter carrier decks. The aircraft wil...

Europeanists in Combat Boots

Internationalism No. 73, March 2025 Page 16 Three years of war in Ukraine. Perhaps with a truce in sight, albeit in the heated climate of the European shock over the Atlantic crisis and the American about-face. Trump wants to make a deal with Putin without regard for Kyiv and the EU; doubts are spreading as to whether America can be trusted anymore. Friedrich Merz, the next head of the German government, has been heard uttering words that would previously have been unthinkable for an Atlanticist like him: We must become independent from the United States; Berlin must agree with London and Paris on the nuclear protection of Europe. It is uncertain whether NATO, in its present form, will be suitable for this “epochal break”, or whether new European structures will be needed. Perhaps the objective is a Europeanised NATO, a centre of gravity in the Old Continent that can contain or compensate for American oscillations and the unpredictable behaviour of its bull...

The Unstoppable Force: Capital’s Demand for Migrant Labour

Internationalism No. 78-79, August-September 2025 Page 16 “Before Giorgia Meloni became Italy’s prime minister, she pledged to cut immigration. Since she has been in government the number of non-EU work visas issued by Italy has increased”. This is how The Economist of April 26th summarises the schizophrenia of their politics; and this is not only true in Italy: “Net migration also surged in post-Brexit Britain”. The needs of the economic system do not coincide with the rhetoric of parliamentarism. And vice versa. Schizophrenia and imbalances in their politics Returning to Italy, the Bank of Italy has pointed out that by 2040, in just fifteen years, there will be a shortage of five million people of working age, which could lead to an estimated 11% contraction in GDP. This is why even Italy’s “sovereignist” government is preparing to widen the net of its Immigration Flow Decree. The latest update, approved on June 30th, provides for the entry of almost ...