Skip to main content

Reckless Bets on Migrants in California


From the series Chronicles of the new American nationalism


The tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump on allies, partners and opponents of the United States have opened a phase of negotiations with the affected countries and caused reactions from some key States. The legal opposition from almost all areas of the US poses a test: whether States, courts, and Congress can influence trade policy and constrain the expansion of executive powers. Amid conflicting rulings, the tariffs have been reinstated – an outcome that, The New York Times remarks, has “left Washington, Wall Street, and much of the world trying to discern the future of US trade policy”.

California’s dispute with the federal government has expanded to immigration policy and the domestic use of military force. The political, economic, and power struggles overlap with the electoral dimension.

The establishment remains critical of or perplexed by Trump’s foreign policy and has delivered a severe assessment of the results of his trade negotiations. But some are beginning to acknowledge, or concede, a certain recognition of his goals and methods. In ten years, “Mr Trump has come to define his age in a way rarely seen in America, more so than any president of the past century other than Franklin D. Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan, even though he has never had anywhere near their broad public support”, writes Peter Baker of The New York Times. Somehow, he “has translated the backing of a minority of Americans into the most consequential political force of modern times, rewriting all of the rules along the way”, and “he has also upended the old conventional wisdom that optimism was the key to success in presidential politics [...] He is a voice not so much of American greatness as American grievance, one that resonates with many voters”.

An open secret

California is pursuing legal opposition to tariffs, and has defended the State’s prerogatives against the federal government even on the sensitive issue of immigration policy.

In June, demonstrations took place in Los Angeles against the arrests of undocumented immigrants by federal agents of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). The protests were triggered by ICE raids in the Fashion District and at a parking lot of a Home Depot – a chain of hardware stores – where immigrants seek work as day labourers. Trump ordered the National Guard, which is under the governor’s command, to protect ICE agents, and mobilised the marines.

As unrest spread, Governor Gavin Newsom accused Trump of instigating the incident and provocatively using federal powers to trample on those of the State. The clash increased the visibility of Newsom, a nationally prominent Democrat, even before demonstrations took place in 2,000 cities across the nation under the slogan “No Kings”.

The Wall Street Journal criticises Trump’s “excesses” and certain “cruelties” in the expulsion of immigrants, but notes that a migration policy framed in terms of security concerns strengthens every politician. Although Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass has declared a curfew, Trump is banking on the Democrats not breaking from their progressive orientation.

Newson “bets” that the president’s heavy-handed approach will alienate a portion of voters, and Sacramento has taken the federal government to court for overstepping its authority. A federal judge in San Francisco temporarily stopped the mobilisation of the National Guard, but that ruling was itself temporarily blocked by a higher court in San Francisco, the US 9th Circuit Court of Appeals. A few days later, it was Trump himself who softened ICE’s directives on agriculture, food services, fish farming, and meat processing. Pressure from Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins, as well as from major Republican donors and exponents who channelled the concerns of business owners, is likely to have weighed heavily: their companies and respective sectors risk being unable to operate if irregular immigrants do not show up to work for fear of arrest.

The incident, like the pandemic before it, uncovers the colossal social compromise on which the American economy is based, driven by a total of almost 50 million immigrants born abroad, of which 11 million are irregular, a quarter of them concentrated in California. Sanctuary cities limit cooperation with the federal government on immigration, and in California, reports The Washington Post, irregular immigrants have access to driving licenses, healthcare, universities, and some State assistance. “Even irregular migrants”, explains the WSJ, “have some form of residence document”, and fill “the labour-power shortage” that hinders business.

No State, whether Democratic, Republican, or Sanctuary, can do without immigrants. However, immigration is the outlet for the anxiety of an electorate shaken by the crisis in the world order, and the search for electoral consensus responds to this, rather than to the logic of economic interests.

MAGA idealism and realism

In the clash in California, Trump had to back down; migrants are too crucial to essential sectors. However, his intimidation of such a significant portion of wage earners remains.

In addition to the domestic deployment of security and law-and-order rhetoric, it should be noted how the firefighter-arsonist tactic – stoking fears about immigration under the guise of defending Western identity – has become an instrument of international politics.

Washington’s line in foreign policy is evolving. Trump, as in 2017, chose to make his first trip abroad to the Middle East. The WSJ has gone so far as to read a “Trump doctrine” in the speech he delivered in Riyadh, where he spoke in terms of interests and business with Saudi Arabia and avoided lessons on democracy. It is difficult to discern a doctrine in Trump’s deliberately unpredictable moves; as for Tehran, negotiations backed by military pressure devolved into the bombing of Iranian nuclear sites.

In Asia, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseh conveyed a realist approach in his speech at the Shangri-La Dialogue, urging partners to accelerate their defence efforts in light of an “imminent” threat to Taiwan from China.

In February, during negotiations with his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov regarding the war in Ukraine, Secretary of State Marco Rubio spoke of “the incredible opportunities that exist to partner with the Russians” in business. In the same month, Vice President JD Vance harshly criticised Brussels at the Munich Security Conference in the terms of idealism: “what I worry about is the threat from within, the retreat of Europe from some of its most fundamental values – values shared with the United States of America”.

Vance’s words were taken up on the State Department’s website in a post, “The Need for Civilizational Allies in Europe”, which laments the lack of US allies in Europe on the fundamental issue of “civilization”. The document bears the marks of American exceptionalism and Catholic conservatism from the three officials to whom it is linked. Samuel Samson, the 26-year-old author of the post, describes himself as “a proud Thomist” and before directing the Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor under Rubio, worked at American Moment, a conservative group supported by Vance. The document assures that “the United States remains committed to a strong partnership with Europe and working together on shared foreign policy goals”, but that this “must be founded upon our shared heritage rather than globalist conformity”. The Department is concerned that, conversely, the European Union and Great Britain’s “suppression of speech, facilitation of mass migration, targeting of religious expression, and [...] of electoral choice”, undermine the very foundations of NATO.

Hungary, a “Christian nation”, has been “unjustly labeled” as authoritarian by Brussels, the post reads, while Britain restricts prayer demonstrations outside abortion clinics, France penalises Marine Le Pen, and Germany sanctions Alternative für Deutschland.

Le Monde notes that, in the Polish and Romanian elections, MAGA emissaries have lent their support to candidates opposing the “Brussels globalists”. A policy of conservative American values seems to be wedging itself between the Old Europe of the Franco-German axis and the New Europe of the east. According to The Washington Post, “it’s worth remembering”, for those who think that Trump invokes values in a selective and insincere way, that since the time of Woodrow Wilson the idealism of American foreign policy “has always been selective, its sincerity always questioned”.

In Europe, a measure of security-related and xenophobic demagogy is now common across all political trends, accompanying and even masking policies of selection and competition over the recruitment of migrants.

But for a while, the sign of US interference in the EU will be the support for nationalist and identitarian movements that can stand in the way of the advancement of the European project. It is no coincidence that Vladimir Putin’s Russia has often followed the same tactical ploy.

Lotta Comunista, June 2025

Popular posts in the last week

The EU Commission Plans for Rearmament and a Clean Industrial Deal

Internationalism No. 71, January 2025 Page 2 From the series European news Following the European elections which took place on June 6th - 9th, the leaders of the Member States met on June 27th at the European Council. Ursula von der Leyen was nominated as president of the next European Commission, after she was chosen as the European People’s Party’s (EPP) Spitzenkandidat (“leading candidate”). The agreement also included the election of former Portuguese Prime Minister Antonio Costa as president of the European Council, and the appointment of former Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas as High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy. Subsequently, on July 18th, Parliament elected von der Leyen as president of the Commission by an absolute majority, with 401 votes out of 719 MEPs. On September 17th, von der Leyen presented her team of commissioners to the European Parliament and, two days later, the Council adopted this list of...

The Fourth Plenum of China's War Preparations

Internationalism No. 83, January 2026 Page 2 According to Nicolas Baverez of Le Figaro , China’s proposed Five-Year Plan for 2026-2030, accepted by the Fourth Plenum of the CCP Central Committee, marks China’s transition to a war economy . At the national level, the focus would not be on rebalancing demand, but on reducing dependencies in order to resist external pressures and international sanctions. War preparations, writes the French economist, are now fully integrated into China’s economic development strategy. In our view, it would be more accurate to speak of a rearmament economy , since no major power has yet moved towards the proportions of a full-scale war effort, i.e., military spending historically measured in tens of percentage points of GDP. Instead, the variations have so far been a few percentage points and fractions of a point. This does not mean that there is no rearmament process affecting the economy and society as a whol...

India’s Weaknesses in the Global Spotlight

Farmers’ protests around New Delhi have been going on for four months now. A controversial intervention by the Supreme Court has suspended the implementation of the new agticultural laws, but has raised questions about the dynamics between the judiciary and the executive, and has failed to unblock the negotiations between government and peasant organisations. The assault by Sikh farmers on the Red Fort during the Republic Day parade as India was displaying its military might to the outside world — the Chinese Global Times maliciously noted — paradoxically widened the protest in the huge state of Uttar Pradesh. The Modi government has been trying to revive India’s image with the 2021 Union Budget: it announced one hundred privatisations and approved the increase to 75% of the limit on direct foreign investment in insurance companies. For The Indian Express ( IEX ) this is a sign of the commitment to push ahead with reforms despite the backlash from rural India. Also for The Economi...

Dilemmas of India's Delay

Internationalism No. 82, December 2025 Page 4 On September 26 th , The Hindu wrote: The global chessboard has shifted. Supply chains are in motion. China is repositioning capital. Southeast Asia is building alternative corridors. India is claiming a role in the Indo-Pacific equation, but its export architecture still rests on a few coastal enclaves . The newspaper, based in Chennai (Tamil Nadu), outlines Asian capital movements that show that India is lagging behind in the internationalisation of its key sectors. The four States of Gujarat, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, and Karnataka alone account for over 70% of all Indian goods exports, while the most populous States — Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, and Madhya Pradesh — remain on the sidelines, responsible for only 5% of foreign trade combined. In the Indian debate, the export of goods is treated as an index of the international competitiveness of States. This is tied to the difficulty of attracti...

The Works of Marx and Engels and the Bolshevik Model

Internationalism Pages 12–13 In the autumn of 1895 Lenin commented on the death of Friedrich Engels: "After his friend Karl Marx (who died in 1883), Engels was the finest scholar and teacher of the modern proletariat in the whole civilised world. […] In their scientific works, Marx and Engels were the first to explain that socialism is not the invention of dreamers, but the final aim and necessary result of the development of the productive forces in modern society. All recorded history hitherto has been a history of class struggle, of the succession of the rule and victory of certain social classes over others. And this will continue until the foundations of class struggle and of class domination – private property and anarchic social production – disappear. The interests of the proletariat demand the destruction of these foundations, and therefore the conscious class struggle of the organised workers must be directed against them. And every class strugg...

Factional Struggle and the Violence of Capital in Iran's Repression

Internationalism No. 84, February 2026 Pages 4 and 5 At the time of writing, bloody repression seems to have quelled the mass protests in Iran that began in late December and spread to nearly 200 towns and cities across all of Iran’s 31 provinces. The dynamics of these protests recall those that erupted in 2017 and 2019: both were similarly marked by rising living costs and subsidy cuts, abuses by the religious police in enforcing the veil on women (especially students), and the involvement of ethnic minorities. According to international estimates, the victims of those previous waves of repression amounted to 400 and 550 respectively, while there is still uncertainty about the scale of today’s massacre, with estimates ranging from 2,000 to 20,000 victims. Iranian government sources, quoted by Reuters , mention 2,000-5,000, and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei himself, in a speech on January 17 th , speaks of thousands of deaths and enormous damage c...

The SPD Guarantor of State Continuity

Internationalism No. 82, December 2025 Page 6 From the series Pages from the history of the workers’ movement The role of soldiers in the German Revolution must also be considered from the perspective of the relative stability of the German State compared to the Russian one. Lenin emphasised this on several occasions: in Germany, bourgeois rule was much more firmly established than in Russia, because capitalism was more advanced and the State rested on stronger economic and social foundations. In Germany, therefore, the class party was confronted with the unprecedented task — which remains so even today — of seizing power in a mature imperialist metropolis. The German Revolution brought about the collapse of the Hohenzollern empire, but the rupture was accompanied by bourgeois forces safeguarding class dominance thanks to political forms more suited to the imperialist era. First among these forces was the Social Democratic ...

Historical Constants and Strategic Surprise

The Strategic Surprise of the Agreement between Beijing and Tehran and the Suggestion of a Six-Power Concert The agreement between Beijing and Tehran falls under the definition of strategic surprise , i.e., events that entirely appertain to the political realm and mark a change or an about-turn in the balance among the powers. New alliances, the breakdown of alliances, the overturning of coalitions, diplomatic openings or unexpected military sorties: these are the regular novelties of international politics that Arrigo Cervetto wrote about. However, if the agreement was an unforeseeable event in itself, the long-term objective economic and political trends. that have determined it and made it possible are entirely investigable. The invasion of Afghanistan by the USSR at the end of December 1979 was interpreted by the United States as a potential threat to the oil routes of the Persian Gulf, and it was a contemporary revival of the Great Game , which had set the British Empire agai...

AI Bubble and Debt Fuse

Internationalism No. 83, January 2026 Page 11 The artificial intelligence (AI) bubble is receiving a growing amount of attention. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) , in its December quarterly magazine, offers both reassurance and caution. It appreciates the strong earnings of the sector, which, in reality, presented mixed results in the third quarter, with a few business groups advancing and others treading water, while one of the frontrunners, OpenAI, forecasts losses until 2030. It was Nvidia, with its strong profits, that revived the sector's euphoria. After three years of acceleration, which raised the weight of the Magnificent Seven from 20% to 35% on Wall Street, the BIS sees signs of a retrenchment due to wariness about stretched valuations and episodes of volatility . It considers the optimistic expectations to be well-founded and, in this respect, the AI trend – which the bank never refers to as a bubble – is d...

Europe Follows the USA and China in the Strategic Use of Space

Internationalism No. 33, November 2021 Page 9 From the series The war industry and European defence Next Spring SpaceX will be 20 years old. The company founded by Elon Musk has rapidly achieved a key role in international space activity. The first stage of its Falcon 9 rocket has recently been recovered, reconditioned and reused for the tenth time. SpaceX has already repeated this type of reflight 70 times or so; it allows for substantial savings when compared to the losses incurred in the first stages of a traditional rocket launch. It is for this reason that it is being considered as the standard for the future. According to NASA’s calculations, the average cost of launching a satellite into orbit has fluctuated around the level of $18,500 per kilogram for the whole period between 1970 and 2000. SpaceX has reduced this figure by seven times. Internet constellations In recent missions Falcon 9 rockets have put a total of 60 Starlink satellites ...